Evacuation Blues

September 3rd, 2008 by Loki

I do not have the energy to write a new post here on this subject so please go over to Katrina: An UnNatural Disaster and read what I wrote for them. Comments are hugely appreciated, leave them on the actual post not here.

Here is an exceprt to get you started:

A few days ago my wife and I evacuated from New Orleans, piled into a friend’s car with our four cats. Thus began a series of events that simultaneously evoke the horrors of three years ago and put a vicious post-Katrina spin on them. I am going to tell you what this kind of evac is like. Be ready, because it is not pleasant.

First comes the mad packing. What can fit in your car? What can be left behind to make room for neighbors? There is always something to be secured around the house no matter how complete your prep may have been.

The soundtrack to this is the panicky, fearful misinformation coming from our political class. Despite claims by the mayor, Gustav was not the “Mother of All Storms,” a phrase whose use was hardly conducive to anything other than panic. Neither was the storm 900 miles wide; its hurricane-force winds only reached 50 miles from its center (note Katrina stretched 105 miles from its center).

Katrina was more than 50 percent stronger than Gustav. Panic and threats that anyone found on the street would go directly to the state prison at Angola, something I believe is usually against the law, constituted the majority of the official voices on the airwaves. At the time, we had none of the facts handy about this “Mother of All Storms,” just a litany of fear voiced before a backbeat of polemic. I am honestly surprised I did not hear the phrase “run for your lives.”

Read the rest here.

Loki, HumdCity Founder

Gustav Information Center

August 30th, 2008 by Loki

Aggregating info and media from a variety of sources. If you use twitter, flickr or other social media use the tag “gustav” to assist in data aggregation. The Gustav Information Center

If You Are In Gustav’s Path You Must Take 5 Minutes to Read This

August 30th, 2008 by Loki

Okay folks, wile I am still not convinced that Gustav will smite New Orleans many people are still exercising justifiable caution and getting the hell out of dodge. This article by Web 2.0 Security expert W. David Stphenson is a must read. His tips on utilizing cameraphones, twitter, flickr and other online tools to communicate during a Hurricane or evacuation are a must read. Lives could be saved by this information.

In his words:

Looking ahead to the likely landfall of Gustav next week, I want to reinforce how critical it is to know now how to creatively use your personal communication devices and Web 2.0 apps in an emergency when conventional communications may be disrupted.So here, drawn from the VITA Advisory tips I created for the Wireless Foundation and my “21st-century disaster tips you WON’T hear from officials,” — and some new ones to boot! — are IMHO the key things you should learn now to be prepared if and when disaster strikes

Go. Read. Use. Share.

-Loki, HumidCIty Founder

Contraflow Maps

August 29th, 2008 by Loki

If you’re leaving after 4am Sunday you need to look at these. Don’t get caught in the wrong lane unable to get where you’re going.

-Loki, hunkered down and watching the weather

Loki on BBC 5 Live Tonight

August 29th, 2008 by Loki

Tonight I will be on BBC 5 Live’s Up All Night program. It begins at 7:30pm this evening Central Time and may be tuned in over the internet here. I’ll be talking about Hurricane’s Katrina and Gustav and will be sharing commentary from other New Orleanians gathered through use of Twitter, LiveJournal, and other social media platforms.

I know it’s tradition here at HumidCity to only do one post, the black image that says “Remember:, on the Anniversary, however the advent of the hysteria surrounding Gustav has forced us to break that rule.

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Tagged

Mandatory Evac For St. Bernard

August 29th, 2008 by Loki

Mandatory Evacuation will be called for St. Bernard Parish on Saturday afternoon.  Residents with special needs can contact the following number to register for the City Assisted Evacuation plan.  These residents with special needs will be bussed to a triage site and then taken to special needs shelters in the state of LA.  Those without transportation or resources to evacuate may also call this number to register. (504) 278-1593 Via Alli

Remember

August 29th, 2008 by Loki

Anniversary

Remember the promises to rebuild infrastructure, promises that three years later remain unfulfilled.

Remember us in your thoughts as Gustav and Hanna approach.

7AM CDT — KATRINA MAKES LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE [CNN]

7:30 AM CDT — BUSH ADMINISTRATION NOTIFIED OF THE LEVEE BREACH: The administration finds out that a levee in New Orleans was breached. On this day, 28 “government agencies, from local Louisiana parishes to the White House, [reported that] that New Orleans levees” were breached. [AP]

8AM CDT — MAYOR NAGIN REPORTS THAT WATER IS FLOWING OVER LEVEE: “I’ve gotten reports this morning that there is already water coming over some of the levee systems. In the lower ninth ward, we’ve had one of our pumping stations to stop operating, so we will have significant flooding, it is just a matter of how much.” [NBC’s “Today Show”]

11:13 AM CDT - WHITE HOUSE CIRCULATES INTERNAL MEMO ABOUT LEVEE BREACH: “Flooding is significant throughout the region and a levee in New Orleans has reportedly been breached sending 6-8 feet of water throughout the 9th ward area of the city.” [AP]

MORNING — BROWN WARNS BUSH ABOUT THE POTENTIAL DEVASTATION OF KATRINA: In a briefing, Brown warned Bush, “This is, to put it mildly, the big one, I think.” He also voiced concerns that the government may not have the capacity to “respond to a catastrophe within a catastrophe” and that the Superdome was ill-equipped to be a refuge of last resort. [AP]

MORNING — MAYFIELD WARNS BUSH ABOUT THE TOPPING OF THE LEVEES: In the same briefing, Max Mayfield, National Hurricane Center Director, warns, “This is a category 5 hurricane, very similar to Hurricane Andrew in the maximum intensity, but there’s a big big difference. This hurricane is much larger than Andrew ever was. I also want to make absolutely clear to everyone that the greatest potential for large loss of lives is still in the coastal areas from the storm surge. … I don’t think anyone can tell you with any confidence right now whether the levees will be topped or not, but there’s obviously a very very grave concern.” [AP]

MORNING — BUSH CALLS SECRETARY CHERTOFF TO DISCUSS IMMIGRATION: “I spoke to Mike Chertoff today — he’s the head of the Department of Homeland Security. I knew people would want me to discuss this issue [immigration], so we got us an airplane on — a telephone on Air Force One, so I called him. I said, are you working with the governor? He said, you bet we are.” [White House]

mccainbirthday.jpg MORNING — BUSH SHARES BIRTHDAY CAKE PHOTO-OP WITH SEN. JOHN MCCAIN [White House]

11AM CDT — MICHAEL BROWN FINALLY REQUESTS THAT DHS DISPATCH 1,000 EMPLOYEES TO REGION, GIVES THEM TWO DAYS TO ARRIVE: “Brown’s memo to Chertoff described Katrina as ‘this near catastrophic event’ but otherwise lacked any urgent language. The memo politely ended, ‘Thank you for your consideration in helping us to meet our responsibilities.’” [AP]

LATE MORNING — LEVEE BREACHED: “A large section of the vital 17th Street Canal levee, where it connects to the brand new ‘hurricane proof’ Old Hammond Highway bridge, gave way late Monday morning in Bucktown after Katrina’s fiercest winds were well north.” [Times-Picayune]

11AM CDT — BUSH VISITS ARIZONA RESORT TO PROMOTE MEDICARE DRUG BENEFIT: “This new bill I signed says, if you’re a senior and you like the way things are today, you’re in good shape, don’t change. But, by the way, there’s a lot of different options for you. And we’re here to talk about what that means to our seniors.” [White House]

4:30PM CDT — BUSH TRAVELS TO CALIFORNIA SENIOR CENTER TO DISCUSS MEDICARE DRUG BENEFIT: “We’ve got some folks up here who are concerned about their Social Security or Medicare. Joan Geist is with us. … I could tell — she was looking at me when I first walked in the room to meet her, she was wondering whether or not old George W. is going to take away her Social Security check.” [White House]

8PM CDT — RUMSFELD ATTENDS SAN DIEGO PADRES BASEBALL GAME: Rumsfeld “joined Padres President John Moores in the owner’s box…at Petco Park.” [Editor & Publisher]

8PM CDT — GOV. BLANCO AGAIN REQUESTS ASSISTANCE FROM BUSH: “Mr. President, we need your help. We need everything you’ve got.” [Newsweek]

LATE PM — BUSH GOES TO BED WITHOUT ACTING ON BLANCO’S REQUESTS [Newsweek]

To see the full Think Progress Katrina Timeline, click here.

Plea For Assistance Pre Gustav: St. Bernard Animal Shelter

August 27th, 2008 by Loki

I realize everyone is busy making plans for their safety in case Gustav does impact New Orleans….but I wanted to pass this along in case anyone is in a position to help or knows someone who is…

Dear Everyone,
With Hurricane Gustav on the way, St. Bernard Animal Shelter will be making a decision shortly on evacuation plans. To alleviate the load of animals that will need transport, I have been asked to send out this email to ask anyone who is setup to house a dog or 2 or 3…. to please step forward and help. We will need temporary housing for numerous dogs until the hurricane passes in order to ensure that they make it through this storm. The shelter will not be able to take all the dogs, so it is IMPERATIVE that there are volunteers willing and ABLE to house.  Please remember that your safety and the safety of your family and your pets comes first. So please keep this in mind. If you would like to volunteer to temporarily foster,  please contact one of the numbers below or reply to this email. Just housing one dog, whether big or small is a huge help to the shelter and the animals. Thank you and please take care!
Allyson Lipari - (504) 957-0243
Tina (at the shelter) - (504) 442-2836
Chris Biangi - (914) 720-688

Hey Philly Daily News and Daily KOS, Here Is An Invitation to Kiss My Ass

August 26th, 2008 by Loki

You know, I just cannot understand people. The vitriol and mean spirited tripe aimed at us after Katrina was more than enough to sour me on much human interaction, at least with those outside the flood zone. Now, with Hurricane Gustav looking like its going to both amp up and come roaring down our throats there are so called “progressives” taking about how it will be great for scoring points against the GOP.

I support Obama myself. I hate him as thoroughly as all other politicians, he just happens to be the best option in my opinion. This makes it doubly infuriating when people who stress how prideful they are about being compassionate and forward thinking want to make light of the fact that there is a good chance we down here in the front lines will watch our homes, jobs, neighbors, and loved ones destroyed while we are still trying to rebuild. Hello! we are still picking up the pieces from when the GOP and the Dems deserted us.

First there is this nimrod, Will Bunch, a senior writer at the Philadelphia Daily News. I love the cutesy little disclaimer about not wishing any ill towards anyone here BUT wouldn’t it be great if it hit during the GOP conference? Will, I would like to invite you to send your children and your grandmother down here, after all, don’t they want to be part of the solution? Come on they know how to swim don’t they? We can talk “realpolitck” while the water rises.

Then there is the Daily KOS, as useless an echo chamber as right wing talk radio. Check out the comments on this post. My god you people make me sick and also make me ashamed to call myself a progressive.

What part of human suffering do you not understand? Do you realize that you have all the humanity of Dick Cheney when you write this drivel? I am so furious at this that I am almost speechless. Almost.

You disgusting array of semi-evolved simians, how dare you attempt to hijack concern over a possible repeat of three years ago and turn it to political purposes? Are you the ones madly making evacuation plans just in case? Are any of you stocking up for the potential of Apocalypse II: The Sequel? Is this anything but a news story to those of you who style themselves the compassionate and concerned?

In the words of the late great Ashley Morris, “Fuck You, You Fucking Fucks!” As one of the saner KOS commenters pointed out, “thats like saying you wish more kids would die in Iraq because it will make the war look bad.”

I would like to close by encouraging anyone with sense who is not 100% consumed by Hurricane prep to visit these two sites and share your thoughts…

{EDIT- Such an arrant bit of douchebaggery as this needs to be Promoted From The Comments:

OH, GOD, THIS ONE IS WORSE:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/8/26/194838/339/745/575904
“Gustav is taking square aim for the U.S. Gulf Coast on the week of the GOP convention in Minnessota.
Given that, it’s fair to say that not only is the Gulf Coast squarely in Gustav’s bulls-eye, but so is Minneapolis-St. Paul–which hosts the GOP’s 2008 convention…”.
Commenter:
“I understand all about the “I hope this doesn’t happen to New Orleans.”

But, it’s got to hit somewhere, and I hope it does hit New Orleans. Not because I want those people to suffer, Christ, they’ve had more than their fair share of grief, but EVERY time a hurricane hits someplace with more than two gay people, a bunch of fucking lunatics scream about GOD’S WILL. So let it be God’s will.”

That made me physically ill. -Loki}

-Loki, HumidCity Founder and an actual progressive (not a faux progressive)

Loki on Community Gumbo

August 24th, 2008 by Loki

I had the pleasure recently of being asked to appear on WTUL’s Community Gumbo to speak about disaster recovery, social media, and governmental transparency. As I am sure you can tell I had had way too much coffee first.

Listen Here.

Green Tangerine Saves The Day

August 23rd, 2008 by Loki

Well, after the single most peculiar site move I’ve ever experienced it seems we are stable and on our new servers at Green Tangerine Media. These folks saved our site today by being willing to jump in and do the relocation on a bare few minutes notice.

You see today Alan Gutierrez, who has presented himself as ThinkNOLA since the storm, decided that the proper response to my inquiries about the multiple and highly unreasonable hold ups was to punch me in the face twice, in public, at a new media conference.

Out of respect for the organizers I laid it out that I would not press charges if he would release our database and allow Green Tangerine to relocate it before leaving the building. He did so, I am not pressing charges, and HumidCity is now safely out of the burning house of cards that was ThinkNOLA. This altercation will be the subject of a future posting once my temper has cooled enough to do it properly.

In the meantime I cannot thank Jennifer at GTM enough. I’m sure this was probably the weirdest work call she has received. I mean how often do hosting companies get emergency/move it now/ violence and police based requests from their new clients? The speed and kindness of their assistance has assured me that this is the right place for our little bunch of Internet misfits. Instant response, great communication, rapid implementation, and a cheerful attitude are all traits that seem to be hallmarks for Green Tangerine.

If you enjoy HumidCity join us in saying thank you for their emergency save by leaving a comment here. They really came though  like champs!

Coming soon: Drinks with the Inspector General, Fisticuffs on the Convention Floor, a Blog Carnival Post from Greg Peters of Suspect Device, and a sincere question about parking legalities.

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Listen to Loki….

August 22nd, 2008 by Loki

On WTUL FM’s Community Gumbo tomorrow morning at 9am. I’ll be talking about Katrina, media democratization, and the social web. Go here and click “listen live” in the morning.

Attention HumidCity Readers

August 22nd, 2008 by Loki

Late this evening we will be relocating the site to its new server hosted by Green Tangerine. This means you may end up seeing some downtime while the domain catches up with it’s new server.

If you are a Feedblitz/Feedburner subscriber (or use another feed reader) you will need to re-subscribe once we are in our new home. I am truly sorry for that, it s unavoidable due to the way things have been structured up till now.

Once we are stable on the new server you will see a lot of new content as I will be spending the weekend at Rising Tide III doing some blogging and video blogging. If HumidCity does go down please look to Katrina: An UnNatural Disaster where I will be liveblogging the conference.

Thank you to everyone that helped us get to where we are today. Over the past three years I have had the pleasure of watching as HumidCity has grown into a true community pulpit. Not bad for a site that was started as a throwaway test blog just before the storm, eh?

Remember, its all about you! The residents of New Orleans, the most amazing group of humans to walk the earth since the days of the Australopithicenes! It is because of you, our friends and neighbors that HumidCity exists! Special thanks to Alan Gutierrez for the assistance he has given us over the years, it is directly responsible for the site’s continued existence.

See you on the other side of the server relocation!

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

And Now For Something Completely Different

August 20th, 2008 by Loki

Happy Birthday to H.P. Lovecraft!

“That is not dead which can eternal lie, and in strange eons even death may die.” -HPL

Thanks for all the weird tales!

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Blog Carnival: Three Years By Sophmom

August 20th, 2008 by Loki

Y3K: First Annual HumidCity Blog Carnival

(For a complete and updated list of all Blog Carnival Posts visit this page.)

I follow Fay over Florida after watching her stumble past Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba, the mountainous landmasses that inhabit the confluence of the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, all the while preparing for my upcoming trip to New Orleans to attend the third annual Rising Tide Conference; and I can’t help but remember August of 2005 and some of the intangibles since lost, perhaps greatest among them, trust. Watching television weatherpersons make their predictions, I see what I think are the prognosticators overestimating the possibilities of their science without adequately communicating the art within. Maybe they have it right this time, but there was innocence lost in 2005 and, well, among other things, I simply no longer believe in The Cone.

August 2005 was an unstable time for me. My family was in disarray. Recently separated and newly under-employed completely outside my field, I was desperately (in its most literal sense) trying to take care of my three sons, 23, 20 and 17. Craig Ferguson describes parenthood as spending the rest of your life with your heart outside your body. I can’t say it any better than that. It’s one thing when you can gather those little hearts of yours near you, keep their invisible leashes short enough to pretend you have some grasp; but there comes a time when the loving thing to do is to let go, to send your little hearts away to grow up, get educated in books and in the ways of independence. In late August of 2005 my 20 year old son was finally and happily among friends, celebrating the coming semester, looking forward to his sophomore year at Loyola University, having spent a miserable first summer in New Orleans, poor, unemployed and largely alone. Unlike so many others, the surface of my world, already well shaken, hardly noticed what happened next. While some college students in apartments, like so many New Orleanians, lost much, mine lived nestled safely up against St. Charles Avenue, and personally, his only immediate loss was some of the first semester of his sophomore year in college, managing to salvage nine hours of that from the generosity of Georgia State University. I guiltily enjoyed having him unexpectedly with me again, bonus time back in the nest, such as it was.

However, amidst the colossal losses in the wake of the storm, came a loss of trust, subtler and more gradual. For me it started with the National Hurricane Center’s and the mainstream media’s placing protocol and standard practices above the safety of the citizens of New Orleans on the Friday before the storm and completely eroded with the overt abandonment of those same citizens by their government during the following week, watching the massive human suffering in the wake of the catastrophe that we now know was caused, not solely by Hurricane Katrina, but by the very government that left them there to drown in the catastrophic flood, a flood that occurred because the levees that were known to be doomed by the federal employees who built and maintained them, collapsed under an onslaught they’d been advertised as being able to withstand. It’s dizzying. Unfortunately, it was only the beginning.

It’s been an ongoing civics lesson, watching what’s passed in and about New Orleans, what appears even from here as the abandonment of the brave people and institutions who went back and picked up and started again, on their own and in their spare time. It still moves me to think of all those universities just opening in January of 2006, faculty, students and staff, returning to a profoundly injured city in what can only be described as a leap of faith and what was probably the single greatest moment of repopulation since the city emptied. For me, my country’s failure in New Orleans has become woven among all the other failures. It’s just a little more personal. They, the mythical they who govern, corrupted by the power of doing so, are counting on our not paying attention, or on our following their lead and lying to ourselves, trying to find pathetic comfort in denial of this growing list of horrors that, each alone, could be Our National Shame. New Orleans has been abandoned. The nation’s economy is in shambles. The war is set to go on forever. I’ve come to believe that everything is going perfectly according to plan, expecting the worst, while a culture built on rationalization blames the victims and looks away, easily distracted, petulant when called to attention, �What were they thinking, living there?� It’s the coward’s way of pretending that nothing like that could ever happen to them because they, well, won’t bring it on themselves. Perhaps, in some small way, it’s also an extension of that last acceptable prejudice: Southerners in general and New Orleanians in particular, alone, still the brunt of cruel jokes in genteel company. Three years on, once optimistic, I am jaded and embittered.

Mark Folse and Adrastos, before me here, have both said what I aimed to say about what’s been found in the wake of this flood, amidst all this failure and loss, and it�s a pretty remarkable silver lining. They�ve named the names, so I�ll spare you the obligatory links be brief. I simply can�t measure how enriched my life has been just from standing on these sidelines, observing this surge of citizen activism bubbling up on such a scale. These are the bravest people I�ve ever known, and I�m just grateful, grateful to have witnessed this, to have been included in the silver lining, this community, found.

-Sophmom | Dot Calm

(For a complete and updated list of all Blog Carnival Posts visit this page.)

Moving to Portland! (Attn RSS Readers!)

August 19th, 2008 by Loki

Yes, thats right, HumidCity is moving to Portland, OR. Not only that but we leave this weekend, at least the ones and zeros do.

After two and a half years of hosting kindly donated by ThinkNOLA the HumidCity site will be relocated to servers owned by Green Tangerine Media, who are also being quite kind to us. ThinkNOLA is shutting its doors. The team writing are still in New Orleans, the attitude is still in New Orleans, but our servers will be outside the storm zone.

I am stressing this for a few reasons, first of which is the fact that we may end up with some dead time during the change. It can sometimes take a day or two for the address to map to the new server. In other words while I hope there won’t be any, the possibility of down time is one to be aware of. The move will be late at night on Friday so there will be no new blog posts from dinner time on.

In addition, those of you following on Feedburner or through Feedblitz will need to add us again after the move. The feedburner account is ThinkNOLA’s and we cannot take it with us.

I’m letting you all know about this in advance because the memory of our three days of downtime a few months back haunts me. It haunts me I tell you!

Look for some major improvements to the site in the near future!

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Fay the Unprecedented, Intensifies Over Land

August 19th, 2008 by Loki

From Jeff Masters Blog on Weather Underground:

Tropical Storm Fay (AKA “The Joker”) is pulling a trick that may be unprecedented–significantly intensifying over land, developing a full eyewall. The radar and satellite images of Fay this afternoon (Figures 1 and 2) show a much better-organized storm than the Fay that made landfall this morning. Fay now has a symmetric appearance with a full eyewall, and the winds near the center were sustained at 60 mph this afternoon at Lake Okeechobee. These winds are higher than anything measured at landfall this morning. Remarkably, the pressure has fallen over 10 mb since landfall, and I can’t ever recall seeing such a large pressure fall while a storm was over land. Hurricane Andrew of 1992 crossed South Florida and did not weaken significantly, but “The Joker” has significantly intensified. It does happen sometimes that the increased friction over land can briefly act to intensify a hurricane vortex, but this effect is short-lived, once the storm is cut off from its oceanic moisture source. To have a storm intensify over land and maintain that increased intensity while over land for 12 hours is hard to explain. The only thing I can think is that recent rains in Florida have formed large areas of standing water that the storm is feeding off of. Fay is also probably pulling moisture from Lake Okeechobee. Anyone want to write a Ph.D. thesis on this case? Wow.

Somehow facing a storm called “The Joker” is not something I want to do after seeing Health Ledger’s stellar final performance. Holy Hurricanes Splatman, this one’s off its rocker!

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Fay, Entering “Oh Shit” Territory

August 19th, 2008 by Loki

5 Day Forecast as of 08/19/08

Via Weather Underground: Track Fay Here.

-Loki HumidCity Founder

For The Attention Span Challenged (Are You Listening, Ray?)

August 18th, 2008 by Loki

Maitri posts the best synopsis of the past several days in New Orleans that I have yet seen. Gets right on down to the nitty gritty, and boy is it gritty….

Via Vatul Blog:

On returning to New Orleans, Ive discovered that the city wronglydemolished a home, Jessica Hawk (from Ohio)was found murdered in her home on the 3000 block of Chartres in the Bywater, two people wereshot to deathat an Uptown intersection where my friend takes frequent afternoon walks,McSame and Bush willmake their obligatoryNew Orleans visits this week (for more cake, Im sure) and, to top it all off, Mayor Ray Ray will bepresented withThe Award of Distinction For Recovery, Courage, and Leadership by a group called The Excellence in Recovery Host Committee, led by a prominent member of our City Council. I feel like a bit character in a poorly-reenactedmashup of The Enemy Within and Mirror Mirror set in New Orleans.

Yes, corruption and incompetence are found wherever power and money are to be had, but not like this, not when we should all be extra-vigilant during this reconstruction. Returning to pre-Katrinadysfunctional bullshitis not recovery. It makes me want to run screaming back to Ohioor Wisconsin.The Upper Midwest is not exempt from flood, government incompetence and crime, but its not an excuse to dodge the issue that there are serious problems down here, andthat almost 25% will leave if we as a city dont address them.

There, short and (not so) sweet.

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Up the East Coast or Down Our Throats, Don’t You Wish You Knew For Sure?

August 18th, 2008 by Loki

Joy. Rapture. Here is what Jeff Masters on Weather Underground has to say about Tropical Storm Fay:

South Carolina? New Orleans? Where will Fay go next?
The computer models continue to show an unusual amount of disagreement about the longer term path of Fay. The official NHC forecast follows the GFDL and HWRF models, which takes Fay northwards through the Florida Peninsula. However, the latest runs of these models now predict Fay will emerge off the east coast of Florida, restrengthen a bit to a 60-70 mph tropical storm, then make landfall Wednesday along the Georgia/South Carolina coast. This solution assumes that the trough of low pressure turning Fay northward will be strong and enough and be moving slow enough to pull Fay all the way northwards into the U.S.

A weaker trough is predicted by the rest of the models, which foresee that Fay will stall over central Florida or the adjacent Atlantic Ocean on Wednesday. A ridge of high pressure will then build in, forcing Fay westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico. A second landfall in the Florida Panhandle or in Louisiana near New Orleans is then a possibility. Since more and more of the models are trending this way, I believe this solution has an equal chance of being correct. “The Joker” may be around to trouble us for another full week or longer.

This is only a smattering of the coverage, including more of Masters’ commentary located here. [Hat tip to SophMom]

Damn.

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Talking Trash

August 18th, 2008 by Loki

It’s no secret that a lot of trash talk goes on in New Orleans (*cough* chocolate city *cough*), and it is also no secret that so much of it is generated by the political class. Now Bayou St.John David is talking some serious trash, and once again that walking id of a Mayor seems to be in the middle of it.

Take a moment and head over to Moldy City where David asks:

Perhaps we should ask the SCLC why Richards Disposal is offering predominantly white Jefferson Parish a significantly lower price today than it negotiated with predominantly black Orleans Parish two years ago?

It’s an important question, and he has volumes to say on the matter.

This has been a HumidCity homework assignment. End transmission.

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Flames Hit Close To Home For HumidCity Blogger

August 17th, 2008 by Loki

Hey everybody, hop on over to HumidCity blogger Bigezbear’s blog and show him some love. That big fire in the French quarter the other night was in his building. At the moment he is eiled from his home in the middle of a production without any way of knowing when he will be able to return home.

Here are his pertinent recent posts:

During the season or worrying about water it is fire that strikes close to home.

Let’s help our brother pick himself up a bit, eh?

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Hey People: It’s Not Just Us

August 16th, 2008 by Loki

Go figure, people are people warts and all no matter where you go. This one is the first of many dedicated to those who continue to excoriate us rather than assist. It is not a hand out that we want or need. It is a hand up.

In that spirit allow me to shout about whats going on in Iowa. For them it is a manner of weeks since their flood, not the years we have had to navigate the dilirium, for them the red tape and greed factors are only just rearing their heads.

Via Iowa’s Gazette Online (hat tip to the inimitable Karen Gadbois for the this first one):

CEDAR RAPIDS Three more residents have been accused of fraudulently claiming to be flood victims in order to receive money from the American Red Cross taking more than $3,000 in assistance.

Patrice Howard, 36, and Willie Morris, 38, both of 1200 First Ave. SE, Apt. 1, were arrested this week on charges of second-degree theft, police said.

On June 21, the two gave Red Cross officials their previous address of 1806 M St. SW and said they lost their home in the flood. Investigators later found that house was not damaged by the flood.

For those keeping count that make seven so far in Cedar Rapids. I really feel for them, even a pale spectral version of what happened to our Crescent City is more than I would wish on anyone. It is close enough however that I can see the same pattern of news stories developing: thievery, red tape, failure of infrastructure. Just like home in that respect.

Wait, did I say red tape? Lets check back in on the Gazette, different article this time:

I called up John Gillick, who was flooded out of his house on 10th Street NW two months ago this week. His home was trashed, his Ellis Harbor boathouse was smashed, and the cops had his flooded car towed before he could get back into his neighborhood. He’s given up trying to get it back.

Still, Gillick is remarkably positive. I caught up with him Wednesday morning as he and his wife were moving into a Federal Emergency Management Agency trailer in Hiawatha.

“It’s good and it’s bad,” said Gillick, who’s happy to have a place to live but laments how he got here. “At least it’s a place to stay.”

He figures the decision to pull out dozens of moldy FEMA trailers extended his wait for housing. “Tell Patty Judge thanks,” one of his moving helpers yells, referring to the lieutenant governor’s snap, late-night order last month to remove the tainted trailers.

Gillick’s house also has been on a bureaucratic roller-coaster ride. First it was yellow-carded. Then yellow turned to that infamous shade of purple. Then, for some reason, purple turned back to yellow. He’s weighing the costs of rebuilding or renovation or putting in a modular home. But for now, like a lot of people, he’s just waiting for the feds, state and city to make some key decisions.

Right now Katrina is on everyone’s mind (at least here on the Gulf where there is no choice), in the spirit of generosity shown to us by those who came from states away to help while the official effort floundered I would like to advise readers to remember all the victims of infrastructure failure across the country.

Levees are everywhere.

-Loki, HumidCity Founder

Helen Hill on CBS Tonight

August 16th, 2008 by Loki

(This just came to us via Paul, Helen’s husband. Help pass it around, and remember not to forget. - Loki HumidCity Founder)

Hi,

this is Paul Gailiunas. I just found out that CBS is showing a documentary about Helen and also about Dinnerral Shavers tonight (Saturday). It was made and aired last year and it is being shown for a second time tonight, at 9 pm Eastern and Pacific Time (which might mean 8 pm New Orleans time, I’m not certain). The person who killed Helen has still not been found. If you can send this email to anyone else who might want to watch it, please forward it.

Thank you,
Paul